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Table 8 Value (rNPV) after each phase (in millions of $)

From: Financing repurposed drugs for rare diseases: a case study of Unravel Biosciences

 

Distribution

Average

Standard deviation

Upper bound

Discovery, preclinical development, and phase 1

Log-normal

23.2

21.5

120

Phase 2

Log-normal

117.1

96.3

330

Phase 3

Log-normal

292.3

240.5

690

FDA submission-to-launch

Log-normal

406.5

289.1

880

Overall

Log-normal

8.8

12.8

70